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Hearthstone betting 2026: Conquest markets, maths and where to bet

Hearthstone esports is one player against another in the Conquest format: each player brings several decks of different classes and must win a game with each of them. Bookmakers that list it price the World Championship and the Masters Tour events, with match winner, handicap and total games markets.

This page explains those markets and how Conquest bends the usual series maths. Few sites price Hearthstone, so check the market before you deposit.

World champion 2025: XiaoT Conquest, best of 5 18+ only
Updated Oct 8, 2026
Format
Conquest win once with each deck
Worlds 2025
4 decks best of 5, one ban
World champion
XiaoT 2025, beat Definition
Worlds 2025
18–21 Dec 2025

Liquipedia, Hearthstone World Championship 2025; esports.gg.

Updated October 2026 Live

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Short answer

How does Hearthstone betting work?

You bet on who wins a match between two players, by how many games, or on the total number of games. Matches use Conquest: a player must win with each of their remaining decks, so a player with one weak deck can lose a match they are favoured in game by game.

Per game 60% 68% BO5, if games were independent
Decks at Worlds 4 one banned per player
World champion XiaoT 2025
Players per match 2 one against one

Markets

Hearthstone betting markets explained

Example odds for a best-of-five Conquest match at one site.

Market You bet on Example odds Margin What it means
Match winner Who wins the match; in a BO5 the first to three games. 1.61 / 2.23 6.5% the cheapest market in the example.
Game handicap The favourite −1.5 games must win 3–0 or 3–1. 2.15 / 1.62 7.6% a longer price for a clearer win.
Total games Over 3.5 if the match goes to a fourth or fifth game. 1.49 / 2.44 7.5% card games run close more often than not.
Tournament winner Who wins the event. [varies] [varies] offered for the World Championship.

Example odds, not live prices.

BO3 vs BO5

Match length changes who wins

Two players, 60% chance per game, if every game were independent. Conquest is not: see the note below.

BO3

First to two games.

Favourite at 60% per map 64.8%
Fair odds 1.54
Upset chance 35.2%

So what: more room for an upset.

BO5

Four-deck Conquest with one ban, as at the 2025 World Championship.

Favourite at 60% per map 68.3%
Fair odds 1.47
Upset chance 31.7%

So what: the better player wins more often.

Pure maths with independent games. In Conquest a deck that has won cannot play again, so a player's chance changes game by game. Format: Liquipedia, Hearthstone World Championship 2025.

Tournaments

Hearthstone events

Hearthstone Series The Masters Tour Masters Tour betting →

Glossary

Hearthstone betting terms

Conquest
A match format where each player must win one game with each of their decks. So what: one weak deck can cost a favoured player the match.
Ban
Each player removes one of the opponent's decks before the match. So what: bans aim at the deck that is hardest to beat.
Game handicap
A player starts with a game advantage or deficit, e.g. −1.5 games. So what: turns a short favourite into a longer price.
Meta
Which decks are strong after the latest card set or balance patch. So what: results shift after each patch.

Hearthstone betting FAQ

Can you bet on Hearthstone?

Yes, at some esports bookmakers, mostly for the World Championship and the bigger Masters Tour events. Few sites list it every week.

Who won the Hearthstone World Championship 2025?

XiaoT from China won, with Definition from South Korea as runner-up. The event ran from 18 to 21 December 2025.

Responsible gambling

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18+ only

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