What does −1.5 games mean in Smite?

In a best-of-three the team must win 2–0. At a 60% chance per game that happens 36% of the time, so fair odds are about 2.78 before the bookmaker's margin.

Which objectives can I bet on in Smite?

Where offered: first blood, first tower, first Gold Fury and first Fire Giant. These are single events inside one game, so they are close to two-way coin flips with a wider margin than the match winner.

Esports · Smite

Smite betting 2026: markets, series maths and where to bet

Smite betting is MOBA betting on a smaller scene: five-player teams, Conquest games, and series that are usually best-of-three. Fewer bookmakers price it than League of Legends or Dota 2, so this page covers the markets you will actually find, how a per-game chance becomes a series price, and the sites we rank for Smite.

5v5 MOBA Hi-Rez Studios 18+ only

Updated Oct 8, 2026

Seeded · live ranking Top 3 for Smite betting

Live

1 Welcome offer 1,600 USD Margin 6.0%
2 Welcome offer 1,500 USD Margin 4.9%
3 Welcome offer 2,000 USD Margin 7.2%

18+ · T&Cs Apply · Play Responsibly Full ranking →

Example odds

Format: 5v5 Conquest mode
Released: 25 Mar 2014 Hi-Rez Studios
Successor: Smite 2 Hi-Rez Studios
Per game 60%: 65% BO3 series chance
Match winner margin: 4.9% lowest, example

Short answer

How does Smite betting work?

You bet on a match, one game or an objective inside a game. A team that wins 60% of games takes a best-of-three about 65% of the time. Few bookmakers carry Smite, so compare margins and limits before you bet.

Per game 60% 65% BO3 series chance

Match winner 4.9% lowest margin, example

Players per team 5 Conquest

2–0 at 60% 36% −1.5 games

How it works

From match to bet slip in four steps

Check the game and format

Make sure the match is Smite 2 or Smite, and whether it is a single game or a best-of-three.
Look at the draft

God picks and bans set each team's plan; late-game compositions favour long games.
Pick the market

Match winner carries the lowest margin. Objective props are close to coin flips with a wider margin.
Compare and limit

Compare the few sites that price Smite and set a deposit limit first.

Markets Example odds

Smite betting markets explained

Smite markets you are likely to find. Example odds, best-of-three.

Market	You bet on	Example odds	Margin	What it means
Match winner	Who wins the series.	1.62 / 2.30	4.9%	the cheapest market in the example.
Game handicap	Team A −1.5 games must win 2–0.	2.65 / 1.45	6.3%	turns a short favourite into a longer price.
Game 1 winner	Winner of the first game only.	1.70 / 2.10	6.1%	closer to the per-game chance.
First blood, game 1	The team that gets the first kill.	1.83 / 1.90	6.8%	close to a coin flip.
Total kills, game 1	Over or under a kill line for both teams together.	[varies]	[varies]	offered at only a few sites.

Example odds, not live. Market availability varies by bookmaker.

BO1 vs BO3 vs BO5

Series length decides how often the favourite wins

The same two teams, with the favourite at 60% per game.

BO1

One game, used in some group stages and qualifiers.

Favourite at 60% per map	60.0%
Fair odds	1.67
Upset chance	40.0%

So what: the underdog wins four times in ten.

BO3

First to two games, the usual format for playoff matches.

Favourite at 60% per map	64.8%
Fair odds	1.54
Upset chance	35.2%

So what: the favourite gains about five points.

BO5

First to three games, used for finals at bigger events.

Favourite at 60% per map	68.3%
Fair odds	1.47
Upset chance	31.7%

So what: the stronger team wins most often.

Format varies by event; check the match page at your bookmaker.

Series maths

From a per-game chance to a series price

If each game is independent with the same chance p, a best-of-three win chance is p² × (3 − 2p).

BO3 = p² × (3 − 2p)

BO5 = p³ × (10 − 15p + 6p²)

Example, p = 0.60: 0.36 × 1.8 = 0.648

2–0 (−1.5 games) = p² = 36%

Per map	BO1	BO3	BO5	Fair odds BO3	BO3 vs BO1
50%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	2.00	±0.0 pp
55%	55.0%	57.5%	59.3%	1.74	+2.5 pp
60%	60.0%	64.8%	68.3%	1.54	+4.8 pp
65%	65.0%	71.8%	76.5%	1.39	+6.8 pp
70%	70.0%	78.4%	83.7%	1.28	+8.4 pp
75%	75.0%	84.4%	89.6%	1.19	+9.4 pp
80%	80.0%	89.6%	94.2%	1.12	+9.6 pp

Series calculator

From a per-game win chance to a series chance and fair odds.

Chance to win one map 60% Bookmaker margin 5.0%

BO1 60.0%

BO3 64.8%

BO5 68.3%

Fair odds BO1 1.67

Fair odds BO3 1.54

With margin BO3 1.47

A team that wins 60% of maps wins a best-of-three 64.8% of the time and a best-of-five 68.3%. The BO3 adds 4.8 points over a BO1. With a 5.0% margin a bookmaker would offer about 1.47 on the BO3. Maps are treated as independent.

Pure maths with games treated as independent. Draft, side choice and momentum break this in real series.

Objectives Example odds

Objective markets in a Smite game

Single events inside one game. Example odds; probability and margin are computed.

First Fire Giant

The team that kills the Fire Giant first, a late objective that buffs the whole team.

Outcome	Odds	Probability
Team A	1.75	57.1%
Team B	1.98	50.5%
Sum		107.6%
Margin		7.1%

So what: follows the team that leads the mid game.

First Gold Fury

The team that takes the first Gold Fury, which gives gold to the whole team.

Outcome	Odds	Probability
Team A	1.80	55.6%
Team B	1.93	51.8%
Sum		107.4%
Margin		6.9%

So what: early objective; close to even between similar teams.

First tower

The team that destroys the first tower.

Outcome	Odds	Probability
Team A	1.78	56.2%
Team B	1.95	51.3%
Sum		107.5%
Margin		6.9%

So what: lane matchups in the draft matter more than overall form.

Example odds, not live.

Events

The Smite event on our site

Linked to our tournament page.

Smite Smite World Championship Smite World Championship betting →

Updated October 2026 Live

Betting sites for Smite

The bookmakers we rank for Smite, with their current offer. Margin from the example match.

Welcome offer 1,600 USD Current offer

Odds margin 6.0% Smite BO3 winner · example

Airtel Money AniPay Astropay Bank Transfer

Betwinner review