First to 2
Pools and early bracket rounds at most events.
| Favourite at 60% per map | 64.8% |
| Fair odds | 1.54 |
| Upset chance | 35.2% |
So what: the underdog's best chance.
Esports · Mortal Kombat
Competitive Mortal Kombat is played on Mortal Kombat 1, one player against another in sets of first to two or first to three games. Bookmakers price the big offline events, above all EVO, with set winner, handicap, total games and tournament winner markets.
This page explains each market, shows how set length changes the favourite's chance, and lists the bookmakers we rank. Only a few sites price fighting games, so check the market before you deposit.
esports.gg, All Evo Las Vegas 2025 winners.
Short answer
You bet on who wins a set between two players, by how many games, or who wins the whole event. Top 8 sets at majors are first to three games, which favours the better player: with a 60% chance per game they win an FT3 set 68% of the time, against 65% in an FT2.
First to 2 vs first to 3
The same two players with a 60% chance per game. First to 2 is a best-of-three, first to 3 a best-of-five.
Pools and early bracket rounds at most events.
| Favourite at 60% per map | 64.8% |
| Fair odds | 1.54 |
| Upset chance | 35.2% |
So what: the underdog's best chance.
Top 8 and grand finals at majors such as EVO.
| Favourite at 60% per map | 68.3% |
| Fair odds | 1.47 |
| Upset chance | 31.7% |
So what: the better player wins more often; favourites are shorter.
EVO 2025 MK1 grand final won 3–2 (first to 3): esports.gg.
Markets
What you can bet on in a fighting game set, using an example set between two players.
| Market | What you bet on | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Match winner | Player A or Player B wins the set | Cheapest; a set is first to two or three games |
| Game handicap | Player A −1.5 games wins an FT3 set 3–0 or 3–1 | A longer price for a clearer win |
| Total games | Over 3.5 if an FT3 set goes to a fourth or fifth game | A bet on a close set |
| Correct score | Exact set result, e.g. 3–2 | Six outcomes in an FT3, high margin |
| Tournament winner | Who wins the bracket | Offered for EVO and the bigger majors |
Glossary
Yes, at bookmakers that cover fighting games, mostly for EVO and other big offline events. Weekly online tournaments are rarely priced.
Dominique "SonicFox" McLean won, beating Nicolas 3–2 in the grand final at EVO Las Vegas, held from 1 to 3 August 2025.
In a first-to-three set the player must win 3–0 or 3–1. With a 60% chance per game that happens about 47.5% of the time, so fair odds are about 2.10.
Longer sets give the better player more games to show it. A 60% player wins 60% of single games, 65% of first-to-two sets and 68% of first-to-three sets.
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